I'll go out on a very thin limb and say NYG do beat the spread, but don't win the game. TB should win by about 3; say 20-17 or 23-20. Too close to call on the over/under; barely over I think.
Here's why I think this:
- NYG are averaging more points on the road than at home
- TB is giving up more points on average at home
- TB is scoring less points on average at home
This is probably too simplistic, and I will not be putting money on it. Neither team has been stellar enough to depend on this year. But, you would think after 3 straight losses, TB will pull it together enough at home to scratch-out a win, but probably not beat the spread. There...I said it.